UMD AOSC Seminar
Revolutionizing Climate Modeling:
Impact of High Spatial Resolution
Dr. James Kinter
Center for Ocean-Land-Atmosphere Studies, Director
Institute of Global Environment and Society
A collaboration, bringing together an international team of over 30 people, from six
institutions on three continents, including climate and weather scientists and modelers and
experts in high-performance computing (HPC), applied dedicated HPC resources to rapidly
accelerate progress in addressing one of the most critical problems facing the global
community, namely, global climate change. The scientific basis for undertaking this project was
established in the May 2008 World Modeling Summit.
The numerical experiments were intended to determine whether increasing weather
and climate model resolution to accurately resolve mesoscale phenomena in the atmosphere
can improve the fidelity of the models in simulating the mean climate and the distribution of
variances and covariances. Explicitly resolving cloud processes in the atmosphere without
approximation by parameterization was examined as well. The effect of increasing greenhouse
gas concentrations, associated with global warming, on the regional aspects of extreme
temperature and precipitation, storminess, floods and droughts in key regions of the world also
was evaluated in these experiments.
The two sets of numerical experiments were conducted with two different models. One
was an experimental version of the European Centre for Medium-range Weather Forecasts
(ECMWF) Integrated Forecast System (IFS), a global atmospheric general circulation model,
which is used operationally every day to produce 10-day weather forecasts. The IFS was run at
several resolutions down to 10-km grid spacing to evaluate the statistical distribution and
nature of high-impact and extreme events in 20th and 21st century simulations. The other was
the NICAM global atmospheric model from the Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and
Technology (JAMSTEC), which was run at 7-km, cloud-system-resolving grid resolution to
simulate the boreal summer climate, over many years, focusing on tropical cyclones, monsoon
systems, and summer flood and drought situations. Both models were run in long simulations
for the first time in the U.S.
These computationally-intensive experiments used the entire 18,048-core Athena Cray
XT-4 supercomputer at the University of Tennessee’s National Institute for Computational
Sciences (NICS) for the period October 2009 – March 2010. The project stretched the limits of
CPU, disk, I/O, metadata management and tape archive resources. The data generated by this
project will be made available to the communities of climate scientists interested in analyzing
high-resolution climate simulations and computational scientists who can learn about
operational considerations of running dedicated production at nearly petascale.
This work is in collaboration with D. Achutavarier, J. Adams,
E. Altshuler, P. Andrews, B. Cash, B. Huang, E. Jin, L. Marx, J. Manganello,
T. Palmer, M. Satoh, C. Stan, and H. Tomita.
Septermber 16, 2010, Thursday
Seminar: 3:30-4:30pm
Computer and Space Sciences (CSS) Building, Auditorium (Room 2400)
Refreshment is served at 3:00pm in the adjoining Atrium
[Contact: Dr. James Carton]
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AOSC 818. Frontiers in Atmosphere, Ocean, Climate, and Synoptic Meteorology Research